Hang Seng Index: Cyclical Trends

Below is a chart of the Hang Seng Index (HSI) from 1986 to 2018.

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In the charts that follow, we break down the percentage change in each cyclical rise and decline of the HSI.

1989 to 1995

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1995 to 1998

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1998 to 2003

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2003 to 2008

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2008 to 2011

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2011 to 2016

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2016 to 2018

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Observations

The average increase has been +193.65% while the average decrease has been –45.20%.  When we exclude the period of decline from January 2018 to October 2018, the average decrease is –48.77%.

Based on the work of Edson Gould, the following are the remaining Speed Resistance Line targets for the Hang Seng Index:

  • 20,898.54
  • 15,974.95

Please email us for an updated chart and probability data.

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