U.S. Dividend Watch List: December 7, 2012

Below are the 55 companies on our U.S. Dividend Watch List that are within 11% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.

Symbol Name Price % Yr Low P/E EPS (ttm) Dividend Yield Payout Ratio
OMI Owens & Minor, Inc. 27.57 2.22% 16.12 1.71 0.88 3.19% 51%
RBCAA Republic BanCorp., Inc.  20.03 2.40% 3.54 5.66 0.66 3.30% 12%
WABC Westamerica BanCorp.  42.00 3.70% 14.00 3.00 1.48 3.52% 49%
SON Sonoco Products Co. 29.76 4.02% 16.72 1.78 1.20 4.03% 67%
ED Consolidated Edison, Inc.  56.03 4.48% 14.71 3.81 2.42 4.32% 64%
LKFN Lakeland Financial Corp.  24.54 4.56% 11.47 2.14 0.68 2.77% 32%
INTC Intel Corp.  20.16 4.81% 8.80 2.29 0.90 4.47% 39%
BOH Bank of Hawaii Corp. 43.48 5.00% 12.01 3.62 1.80 4.14% 50%
JW-A John Wiley & Sons Inc. 42.72 5.17% 13.14 3.25 0.80 1.87% 25%
ATR AptarGroup Inc. 47.70 5.55% 19.63 2.43 0.88 1.84% 36%
SJW SJW Corp. 23.89 5.90% 19.58 1.22 0.71 2.97% 58%
NWN Northwest Natural Gas 43.44 5.93% 19.22 2.26 1.82 4.19% 81%
MCD McDonald's Corp.  88.48 6.21% 16.66 5.31 3.08 3.48% 58%
MSEX Middlesex Water Co.  18.58 6.29% 21.60 0.86 0.75 4.04% 87%
IBKC IBERIABANK Corp.  47.07 6.30% 19.61 2.40 1.36 2.89% 57%
TEG Integrys Energy Group Inc 53.37 6.61% 16.84 3.17 2.72 5.10% 86%
WEYS Weyco Group, Inc.  23.48 6.68% 15.25 1.54 0.68 2.90% 44%
CWT California Water Service 17.97 6.71% 16.49 1.09 0.63 3.51% 58%
ANAT American Nat'l Insurance 68.05 6.86% 9.98 6.82 3.08 4.53% 45%
NJR New Jersey Resources 41.20 6.99% 18.48 2.23 1.60 3.88% 72%
CBU Community Bank System 27.18 7.09% 13.80 1.97 1.08 3.97% 55%
CLC Clarcor Inc. 45.87 7.30% 18.88 2.43 0.54 1.18% 22%
PX Praxair, Inc. 107.31 7.31% 19.13 5.61 2.20 2.05% 39%
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. 54.00 7.38% 14.29 3.78 1.92 3.56% 51%
VVC Vectren Corp. 29.49 7.39% 14.89 1.98 1.42 4.82% 72%
TMP Tompkins Financial Corp. 38.55 7.62% 15.73 2.45 1.52 3.94% 62%
TRMK Trustmark Corp.  22.35 7.66% 12.77 1.75 0.92 4.12% 53%
WGL WGL Holdings, Inc. 38.74 7.73% 14.30 2.71 1.60 4.13% 59%
ETP Energy Transfer Partners 43.31 7.76% 9.96 4.35 3.58 8.27% 82%
PRK Park National Corp. 64.31 7.78% 14.58 4.41 3.76 5.85% 85%
CASY Caseys General Stores 49.82 7.95% 16.50 3.02 0.66 1.32% 22%
IBM IBM 191.95 8.23% 13.80 13.91 3.40 1.77% 24%
WBS Webster Financial Corp. 19.82 8.31% 11.13 1.78 0.40 2.02% 22%
FNB F.N.B. Corp. 10.72 8.39% 13.92 0.77 0.48 4.48% 62%
ONB Old National BanCorp. 11.79 8.46% 12.41 0.95 0.36 3.05% 38%
SFNC Simmons First National 24.26 8.50% 15.96 1.52 0.80 3.30% 53%
SCG SCANA Corporation 45.90 8.56% 14.76 3.11 1.98 4.31% 64%
PPL PP&L Corporation 28.98 8.62% 10.42 2.78 1.44 4.97% 52%
SJI South Jersey Industries 49.89 8.91% 14.72 3.39 1.77 3.55% 52%
APD Air Products & Chemicals 83.06 9.13% 15.27 5.44 2.56 3.08% 47%
EXPD Expeditors International 37.34 9.18% 23.34 1.60 0.56 1.50% 35%
FDS FactSet Research Systems 93.25 9.22% 22.63 4.12 1.24 1.33% 30%
ABM ABM Industries, Inc. 19.56 9.58% 20.16 0.97 0.58 2.97% 60%
FULT Fulton Financial Corp.  9.62 9.94% 12.33 0.78 0.32 3.33% 41%
GD General Dynamics Corp. 67.19 9.99% 10.00 6.72 2.04 3.04% 30%
PNY Piedmont Natural Gas Co. 31.37 10.03% 20.11 1.56 1.20 3.83% 77%
DCI Donaldson Co. Inc. 33.58 10.06% 20.48 1.64 0.36 1.07% 22%
GRC Gorman-Rupp Company 28.10 10.15% 19.93 1.41 0.40 1.42% 28%
THFF First Financial Corp. 29.86 10.31% 11.48 2.60 0.96 3.22% 37%
SRCE 1st Source Corp.  21.76 10.46% 11.10 1.96 0.68 3.13% 35%
UBSI United Bankshares, Inc.  24.93 10.60% 15.39 1.62 1.24 4.97% 77%
GWW W.W. Grainger Inc. 191.09 10.78% 20.35 9.39 3.20 1.67% 34%
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc.  40.90 10.81% 12.94 3.16 1.10 2.69% 35%
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Co. 77.63 10.82% 13.89 5.59 1.98 2.55% 35%
AROW Arrow Financial Corp.  24.42 10.90% 13.34 1.83 1.00 4.10% 55%
55 Companies

Watch List Review

Owens & Minor (OMI) topped our list again this week.  The stock was virtually unchanged from a week ago and nothing material developed so we’ll refer you to our previous post commentary here.

Republic BanCorp (RBCAA) is second on our list and has become a big topic of discussion within our team.  The company fundamentals appear to be simply stunning.  RBCAA has exhibited a dividend growth rate of 13% annually in the past five years.  Earnings have exceeded that rate at 16.5% annually and book value trailing at 11.5% over the past 5 years.  So while the company trades at a 25% discount to its book value and at 3x earnings, we are afraid of its balance sheet.  The company’s long-term debt is $764M, nearly double the size of its market cap of $420M.  Cash on hand is $96M with 12% of debt.  Debt is a major thing we are worry about.  Besides that, the 12% payout ratio suggests that the company has a large margin of safety on the earnings side.  The bank weathered the financial crisis without having to cut the dividend and that’s a big positive on the stock.

Top Five Performance Review

In our ongoing review of the NLO Dividend Watch List, we have taken the top five stocks on our list from December 9, 2011 and have check their performance one year later. The top five companies on that list can be seen in the table below.

Symbol Name 2011 Price 2012 Price % change
AVP Avon Products, Inc. 16.58 14.62 -11.82%
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Co. 72.92 77.63 6.46%
WST West Pharmaceutical 37.38 54.71 46.36%
BCR CR Bard, Inc. 85.70 97.46 13.72%
FNFG First Niagara Financial Group Inc.  8.73 7.59 -13.06%
Average 8.33%
DJI Dow Jones Industrial 12,184.26 13,155.13 7.97%
SPX S&P 500 1,255.19 1,418.07 12.98%

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Our watch list managed to gain slightly more than the Dow Industrial Index but failed to outperform the S&P500 Index.  The biggest decline came from First Niagara Financial (FNFG) because the company cut their dividend by half.  The 97% payout ratio gave us a first sign of what was to come with the dividend payment.

Avon's (AVP) decline of -12% came after the company couldn’t managed to capitalized on the buyout rumor which boost the stock up as high as 40% within 4 months.  Our sale of AVP on March 30, 2012 (found here) seemed like a huge mistake after only a +10% gain.  However, since our sale of the stock, AVP has  declined -24.48%.

In all case, however, all five companies managed to gain 10% within the first three months.

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