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Investor Education
Market Return After Exceptional Years
Dollar Cost Averaging Tool
Dow Theory: The Formation of a Line
Dividend Capture Strategy Analysis
Golden Cross – How Golden Is It?
Debunked – Death Cross
Work Smart, Not Hard
Charles H. Dow, Father of Value Investing
It's All About the Dividends
Dow Theory: Buying in Scales
How to Avoid Losses
When Dividends are Canceled
Cyclical and Secular Markets
Inflation Proof Myth
What is Fair Value?
Issues with P-E Ratios
Beware of Gold Dividends
Gold Standard Myth
Lagging Gold Stocks?
No Sophisticated Investors
Dollar down, Gold up?
Problems with Market Share
Aim for Annualized Returns
Anatomy of Bear Market Trade
Don’t Use Stop Orders
How to Value Earnings
Low Yields, Big Gains
Set Limits, Gain More
Ex-Dividend Dates -
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Historical Data
1290-1950: Price Index
1670-2012: Inflation Rate
1790-1947: Wholesale Price Cycle
1795-1973: Real Estate Cycle
1800-1965: U.S. Yields
1834-1928: U.S. Stock Index
1835-2019: Booms and Busts
1846-1895: Gold/Silver Value
1853-2019: Recession/Depression Index
1860-1907: Most Active Stock Average
1870-2033: Real Estate Cycles
1871-2020: Market Dividend Yield
1875-1940: St. Louis Rents
1876-1934: Credit-New Dwellings
1896-1925: Inflation-Stocks
1897-2019: Sentiment Index
1900-1903: Dow Theory
1900-1923: Cigars and Cigarettes
1900-2019: Silver/Dow Ratio
1901-2019: YoY DJIA
1903-1907: Dow Theory
1906-1932: Barron's Averages
1907-1910: Dow Theory
1910-1913: Dow Theory
1910-1936: U.S. Real Estate
1910-2016: Union Pacific Corp.
1914-2012: Fed/GDP Ratio
1919-1934: Barron's Industrial Production
1920-1940: Homestake Mining
1921-1939: US Realty
1922-1930: Discount Rate
1924-2001: Gold/Silver Stocks
1927-1937: Borden Co.
1927-1937: National Dairy Products
1927-1937: Union Carbide
1928-1943: Discount Rate
1929-1937: Monsanto Co.
1937-1969: Intelligent Investor
1939-1965: Utility Stocks v. Interest Rates
1941-1967: Texas Pacific Land
1947-1970: Inventory-Sales Ratio
1948-2019: Profits v. DJIA
1949-1970: Dow 600? SRL
1958-1976: Gold Expert
1963-1977: Farmland Values
1971-2018: Nasdaq v. Gold
1971-1974: REIT Crash
1972-1979: REIT Index Crash
1986-2018: Hang Seng Index Cycles
1986-2019: Crude Oil Cycles
1999-2017: Cell Phone Market Share
2008: Transaction History
2010-2021: Bitcoin Cycles -
Interesting Read
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other
The Fuzzy, Insane Math That's Creating So Many Billion-Dollar Tech Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters
Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes
Why the oil price is falling
How a $600 Million Hedge Fund Disappeared
Hedge Fund Manager Who Remembers 1998 Rout Says Prepare for Pain
Swiss National Bank Starts Negative
Tice: Crash is Coming...Although
More on Edson Gould (PDF)
Schiller's CAPE ratio is wrong
Double-Digit Inflation in the 1970s (PDF)
401k Crisis
Quick Link Archive
Search Results for: XAU
1985-2021: XAU Velocity Indicator
Below is the Velocity Indicator for the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Stock Index (XAU).
Posted in Velocity Indicator, XAU
Gold Market Review: March 2020
In our last Gold Stock Indicator, published October 28, 2018, we offered up $1,755.41 as the extreme upside resistance level for gold. When the same level is drawn to the most recent price, we find that gold has struggled at … Continue reading
Gold Stock Indicator: October 2018
On April 14, 2011, in our very first attempt at understanding Edson Gould’s Speed Resistance Lines, when the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Stock Index (XAU) was within 6 trading days of the top, we said the following: “Based on the … Continue reading
Tesla: Downside Targets
In this posting, we’ll covered the topic of downside targets for Tesla (TSLA). We’re going to apply Speed Resistance Lines [SRL] and George Lindsay’s “Three Peaks and a Domed House.” The SRL downside targets are fairly conservative, in our view, … Continue reading
Posted in 3PDh, Speed Resistance Lines, SRL, Tesla Motors
Gold Stocks: Hedge Free
We have been quoted here on many occasions saying that when the general equity market takes a dive of –10% or more, so too does gold stocks by a greater margin. Our point, gold stocks are not a hedge from … Continue reading
Posted in DJIA, gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator, XAU
The Power and Lessons of Speed Resistance Lines
We are not big fans of charting as a means to make decisions about where the price of a stock or index will go. However, when a charting strategy has a high level of consistency while taking away our own … Continue reading
Posted in NFLX, William X. Scheinman, XAU
Are There “Values” in Gold Stocks?
Looking at any analysis of gold stocks, you would think that fundamentals matter. The companies have quarterly reports that reflect operating expenses, pre-tax profits, estimates reserves, sometimes earnings and in rare instances dividends. However, when it comes to gold stocks, … Continue reading
Posted in Fundamentals, gold, Gold Stock Indicator, junk
Gold Stock Indicator: November 20, 2015
Gold and gold stocks continue to languish as there appears to be no catalyst to propel prices higher. The perception of no reason for gold to increase adds to the despondency of traders and investors which compels selling. However, we’d … Continue reading
Posted in 3-month, Federal Reserve Bank, gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator, interest rates
Royal Gold: SRL Update
On October 12, 2012, we posted the following SRL for Royal Gold: We said the following of the above chart: “The SRL for Royal Gold at $44.62 doesn’t seem outlandish given what has already occurred in the previous declines from … Continue reading
Posted in Edson Gould, RGLD, SRL
Gold Stocks: Risks and Remedies
The topic of gold inspires a charged reaction from individuals seeking fiscal and monetary responsibility of their respective governments. This article is an attempt to establish the risks of gold stock ownership in an investor’s portfolio. We will cover the … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator
Gold Stock Indicator: October 9, 2013
Although gold and gold stocks declined, the Gold Stock Indicator (GSI) increased above the level from yesterday. we’re currently sitting slightly above the “stage 4 buy” level which is based on the 2008 low. Our use of the 2008 low … Continue reading
Comments Off on Gold Stock Indicator: October 9, 2013
Posted in Charles Dow, Charles H. Dow, gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator
Review: Royal Gold (RGLD) Speed Resistance Lines
On October 12, 2012 (found here), when Royal Gold (RGLD) was within 11 trading days of the all-time high at $89.27, we said the following:
Posted in Edson Gould, RGLD, speed resistance line, SRL
Gold Stock Indicator: Now is the Time
On June 24, 2013, the Gold Stock Indicator (GSI) declined below the 2008 low for a brief moment. Today, June 25, 2013, the GSI is at the 2008 low. Any activity in the gold stock arena below the “stage 4 … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator
Bitcoin Downside Targets
After seeing a discussion of Bitcoin on Bloomberg (found here) we decided to run Edson Gould’s Speed Resistance Lines (SRL) on the “currency.” The most important feature regarding this SRL analysis is precedence. Without precedence we could not ascribe any … Continue reading
Comments Off on Bitcoin Downside Targets
Posted in Bitcoin, Edson Gould, speed resistance line, SRL
Avoid These Ratios on Gold Stocks
When attempting to put the current market moves into perspective, it makes sense to look at the various market ratios like Price-to-Earnings, Price-to-Book, Price-Sales as guideposts for market direction. Ratios help to put the numbers that are constantly being generated … Continue reading
Comments Off on Avoid These Ratios on Gold Stocks
Posted in Gold Stock Indicator