Category Archives: apol

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: June 8, 2012

Posted on June 10, 2012 by | Leave a comment

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 10% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.

symbol Name Price P/E EPS Yield P/B % from Low
SYMC Symantec Corporation 14.57 9.28 1.57 - 2.06 2.17%
DELL Dell Inc. 12.12 6.92 1.75 - 2.28 2.71%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide Inc. 57.92 21.6 2.68 2.3 7.51 3.65%
EA Electronic Arts Inc. 13.47 58.57 0.23 - 1.75 4.74%
INFY Infosys Ltd. 43.62 14.54 3 1.3 3.81 5.36%
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 12.12 14.8 0.82 - 1.72 5.67%
GMCR Green Mountain Coffee Roasters 23.13 11.11 2.08 - 1.76 6.25%
EXPD Expeditors Int'l of WA 39.36 22.75 1.73 1.4 3.95 6.49%
CTRP Ctrip.com Int'l 18.66 17.86 1.04 0 2.38 6.63%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 12.86 9.23 1.39 3.4 1.24 7.71%
LRCX Lam Research 37.62 16.65 2.26 - 1.72 8.07%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. 65.64 22.22 2.95 - 5.41 8.14%
WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd. 104.21 22.1 4.72 1.9 46.53 8.76%
NTAP NetApp, Inc. 30.33 19.2 1.58 - 2.65 9.14%
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc. 32.01 19.4 1.65 4.4 3.08 9.25%
VOD Vodafone Group 26.58 12.6 2.11 7.5 1.1 9.34%
MRVL Marvell Technology 12.28 13.15 0.93 2 1.4 9.35%
ORCL Oracle Corporation 27.16 14.23 1.91 0.9 3.16 9.87%
CTSH Cognizant 58.85 19.81 2.97 - 4.14 9.92%

Watch List Summary

Of interest on our watch list is NVIDIA (NVDA).  According to Yahoo!Finance, “NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics chips for use in smartphones, personal computers (PC), tablets, and professional workstations markets worldwide.”  As we’ve described in the past, we have a strong interest in chip sector stocks and believe that the long-term prospects for companies in the chip industry is very appealing.

NVDA first appeared on our watch list on June 12, 2010.  At that time, NVDA was trading at $11.61.  By February 18, 2011, NVDA was trading as high as $25.68 which was a gain of over +120%.  We’re not certain that NVDA’s decline has ended.  According to Edson Gould’s Speed Resistance Lines, NVDA has already declined below the conservative downside target of $17.87 based on the February 2011 high.  The persistence of the current decline suggests that the stock could decline to the extreme downside target of $8.67.  We’re doing everything we can to hold off buying this stock at the current time.

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Watch List Performance Review

The following is a performance review of the top five Nasdaq 100 Watch List from June 4, 2010.  Keep in mind that this is a 2 year performance review instead of a 1 year review.

Symbol
 Name 2010 2012 % change
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. $34.71 49.21 41.77%
SYMC Symantec Corporation $13.92 14.43 3.66%
ERTS Electronic Arts Inc. $15.81 13.07 -17.33%
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. $51.48 32.42 -37.02%
QCOM QUALCOMM $35.30 55.85 58.22%
average 9.86%
NDX Nasdaq 100 1,832.04 2,478.13 35.27%

As can you can see, the list of top five stocks significantly underperformed the Nasdaq 100 (NDX), mainly due to Apple Inc. (AAPL) having an outsized impact on the index.  However, underneath the static 2-year performance data is a story to be told, which is the basis of our New Low investment strategy.

In the chart below, take note of the period around July 2011.  At that time, Qualcomm had gains of +60%, Electronic Arts had gains of +55%, Symantec had gains of +42% and Gilead Sciences had gains of +21%.  Only Apollo Group had losses to compare against the other stocks.

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In the case of Symantec and Electronic Arts, they have come full circle after a 2-year period. This cycle is not unusual for most of the stocks that we track. Even when the stock does not approach the prior low of a watch list, many stocks attain a 52-week low after 2 to 2.5 years (as in the NVDA example above). Be on the lookout for stocks that have similar cycles like EA, SYMC and NVDA since their ability to replicated such moves adds to the prospect that they could pull a repeat performance.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List: March 30, 2012

Posted on March 30, 2012 by | Leave a comment

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.

Symbol Name Price P/E EPS Yield Price/Book Div/Share % Chg from Low
FSLR First Solar, Inc. 25.05 -0.46 0.6 2.24%
EA Electronic Arts Inc. 16.49 -0.52 2.42 2.71%
CTRP Ctrip.com International Ltd. 21.64 19.29 1.12 2.74 3.00%
APOL Apollo Group Inc. 38.64 8.41 4.6 4.34 4.21%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide Inc. 65.49 25 2.62 2.00% 8.48 1.32 5.12%
VOD Vodafone Group plc 27.67 12.75 2.17 3.40% 1.07 0.95 13.82%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 83.64 31.09 2.69 5.95 14.50%
ORCL Oracle Corporation 29.16 15.28 1.91 0.80% 3.4 0.24 17.96%
RIMM Research In Motion Limited 14.7 3.46 4.25 0.69 18.07%
GMCR Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. 46.84 24.11 1.94 3.67 18.82%

Watch List Summary*

Update: December 16, 2011 Summary Stocks

Today we’re going to review the price action of the Nasdaq 100 stocks profiled in the summary section of our December 16, 2011 watch list.  First on the list was BMC Software (BMC), we indicated the following about BMC:

  • “If BMC were to replicate the percentage decline from the May 2008 top to the October 2008 low, the stock would decline to a price of $31.11.”
  • “The $40 level seems reasonable within the next year for BMC even though it is 20% above the current price.”

BMC declined from the December 16th price of $33.17 down to the low $31.62 on January 10, 2012.  The actual low of $31.62 was within 1.64% of the projected downside target.  Additionally, BMC managed to close above the $40 level starting on March 26, 2012.

Virgin Media (VMED) was the second stock listed in our summary section.  We projected an initial downside target of $18.29.  This never materialized as the stock reversed its decline at $20.52, we said the following regarding the VMED’s upside target:

  • “The next upside target for VMED is $25.07 which assumes the best case scenario.”

From December 19, 2011 to February 7, 2012 VMED rose as high as $24.49 but struggled to move any higher.  On February 8, 2012, VMED jumped to $25.27 and managed to close as high as $25.93 on February 14, 2012.  This was a gain of +23.77%  in a month and a half.

Ctrip.com (CTRP) was the last stock that we reviewed.  At the time, we said the following about CTRP:

  • “…on a pace to replicate the performance from the high in April 2008 to the low of January 2009 which equaled a loss of -72%. A similar decline in CTRP from the high of $50.57 would bring the price down to $14.16.”
  • “CTRP sits one penny below the 2nd Dow Theory support level of $23.11. Any further deviation below the current price almost ensures that the stock is destined for the $10 range.”

On March 28, 2012, CTRP declined significantly enough below the $22.44 level for us to believe that the stock would fall first to the $14.16 level and possibly to the $10 range.

*Stocks that are in our Watch List Summary section are those that we find the most compelling among all the stocks that appear in the watch list above.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on January 8, 2011 by | Leave a comment
Below are the top Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.
Symbol Name Price P/E EPS Yield P/B % from Low
ISRG Intuitive Surgical $267.40 31.8 $8.40 - 5.26 8.68%
CEPH Cephalon, Inc. $60.32 11.3 $5.35 - 1.81 9.67%
CSCO Cisco Systems $20.97 15.4 $1.36 - 2.62 10.37%
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. $37.98 10.5 $3.62 - 4.30 12.54%
AMGN Amgen Inc. $56.98 12.3 $4.63 - 2.24 13.37%
ERTS Electronic Arts $16.05 - -$0.48 - 2.04 14.17%
QGEN Qiagen N.V. $19.32 30.4 $0.64 - 1.89 14.59%
TEVA Teva Pharma. $54.01 16.6 $3.25 1.30% 2.22 14.94%
VRTX Vertex Pharma. $36.16 - -$3.73 - 11.31 15.71%
GRMN Garmin Ltd. $30.53 8.3 $3.66 4.80% 2.10 16.93%
INTC Intel Corporation $20.66 11.2 $1.85 3.00% 2.43 17.39%
GILD Gilead Sciences $37.50 11.0 $3.42 - 5.36 18.18%
SHLD Sears Holdings $70.18 41.9 $1.68 - 0.94 18.53%
^NDX Nasdaq 100 2,276.70
***Read our Chapter 2 review of Seth Klarman's book Margin of Safety here***

Watch List Summary
From the current watchlist we are considering the prospects for Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Intel (INTC) and Garmin (GRMN).  Garmin is interesting simply for the fact that the moving feast known as their dividend should be announced in the coming months.  We're curious if Garmin will eliminate, raise, lower or keep the dividend the same.  As has been the case in the last four years, Garmin has paid their dividend all at once.  This will be very interesting considering the 4.80% payment. 
In the Nasdaq 100 Watch List of 15 companies from December 12, 2010 to the closing price January 7, 2011, the average return from all of the companies was +3.65%.  This is compared to the NDX (Nasdaq 100 Index) which had a gain of +2.77%.
Dish Network (DISH) registered the largest gain of +12.45%. Adobe Systems (ADBE) rose 11.60% since December 12th.  Cisco (CSCO) came in third on the list with a gain of 6.45%.
Watch List Performance Review
In our ongoing review of the Nasdaq 100 Watch List, we have taken the top four stocks on our list from the closing price of January 7, 2010 and have checked their performance one year later. The top four companies on that list are provided below with the closing price for January 7, 2010 and January 7, 2011.

Symbol Name 2010 2011 % change
GILD Gilead Sciences 44.54 37.50 -15.81%
CEPH Cephalon, Inc. 63.01 60.32 -4.27%
GENZ Genzyme Corp 53.81 71.39 32.67%
APOL Apollo Group 60.50 37.98 -37.22%
Average -6.16%
^NDX Nasdaq 100 1892.59 2276.70 20.30%
Only one stock, Genzyme (GENZ), was able to to show a positive return.  This was of little consolation as the three other stocks on our watchlist fell, on average, -19%.  The Nasdaq 100 outperformed the watchlist with a gain of 20% in the last year. 
Disclaimer
Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and extensive due diligence. We suggest that readers use the March 2009 low (or the companies' most distressed level in the last 2 years) as the downside projection for investing. Our view is to embrace the worse case scenario prior to investing. A minimum of 50% decline or the November 2008 to March 2009 low, whichever is lower, would fit that description. It is important to place these companies on your own watch list so that when the opportunity arises, you can purchase them with a greater margin of safety. It is our expectation that, at the most, only 1/3 of the companies that are part of our list will outperform the market over a one-year period.

Please revisit New Low Observer for edits and revisions to this post. Email us.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on October 18, 2010 by | Leave a comment
Watch List Summary
At the end of the week for October 15, 2010, the top performing stocks from our Nasdaq 100 list for September 17, 2010 are Seagate (STX) with a gain of 38.98%, Logitech (LOGI) with a gain of 25.15% and Google (GOOG) with a gain of 22.71%.  Gains of 10% or more in a month may require mental trailing stops or selling in our estimation.  The trajectory of the top performing stocks in this category cannot continue at the same rate for too long; expect reversion to the mean.
The worst performing stock from our September 15th watch list are Urban Outfitters (URBN) down –9.12%, FLIR Systems (FLIR) down –5.32% and Steel Dynamics (STLD) down –4.40%. The average gain for the Watch List was 6.67%. In the 1-month period from September 17th to October 15th, 86% of the stocks were up while 14% of the stocks were down.
The average gain for stocks that were up was 8.45% while the average loss for stocks that fell was –3.76%. Among the top ten performing stocks the average gain was 17.94%.
From prior observations, FLIR Systems (FLIR) and Adobe Systems (ADBE) should be examined carefully as potential investment opportunities.  It is our expectation that Apollo Group will be among the companies that will be rotated out of the Nasdaq 100 index in the coming new year.
Nasdaq 100 Watch List
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 11% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.
Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B % from Low
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. 36.58 9.37 3.9 0 4.05 2.29%
URBN Urban Outfitters, Inc. 31 20.17 1.54 0 3.83 3.06%
FLIR FLIR Systems, Inc. 25.79 17.53 1.47 0 3.05 7.46%
INTC Intel Corporation 19.32 11.56 1.67 3.30% 2.35 9.77%
ADBE Adobe Systems 28.08 31.34 0.9 0 2.77 10.33%

Watch List Performance Review
The following is a total return (appreciation plus dividends) performance review of our Nasdaq 100 Watch List from October 15, 2009:
  • Stericycle (SRCL) up 37.95%
  • Genzyme (GENZ) up 28.93%
  • Cephalon (CEPH) up 14.33%
  • Gilead (GILD) down -19.09%
As a group, the average gain for the stocks mentioned was 15.53%. This is contrasted by the Nasdaq 100 gain of 19.64% in the same period of time. It is our expectation that only 1/3 of the companies that are part of our list will outperform the market over a one year period. However, when the market of 5,000 investment opportunities is winnowed down to what we believe are the best 50, we think that selecting one out of four companies become so much easier.
Please revisit New Low Observer for edits and revisions to this post. Email us.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on May 8, 2010 by | Leave a comment

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of their respective 52-week low.  Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy.  Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy.  Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and considerable due diligence.

Name Price P/E EPS Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low
Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) $38.37 12.31 3.12 0.00% 4.71 0.95%
Apollo Group, Inc. (APOL) $54.41 13.61 4.00 0.00% 6.23 3.07%
QUALCOMM (QCOM) $36.50 19.47 1.88 2.10% 2.90 3.60%
Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) $24.60 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 3.89%
Activision (ATVI) $10.56 124.24 0.09 1.40% 1.22 6.34%
Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) $15.29 27.40 0.56 0.00% 1.81 9.45%
Genzyme (GENZ) $51.77 125.66 0.41 0.00% 1.84 9.94%
Symantec  (SYMC) $15.62 40.57 0.39 0.00% 3.02 11.82%
Electronic Arts (ERTS) $17.63 0.00 0.00 0.00% 2.29 12.29%
Cephalon, Inc. (CEPH) $59.38 11.84 5.01 0.00% 1.90 13.00%
Logitech (LOGI) $14.63 40.41 0.36 0.00% 2.65 14.03%
Staples (SPLS) $21.66 21.17 1.02 1.60% 2.35 15.71%
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) $54.46 11.56 4.71 0.00% 2.37 17.22%
RIMM (RIMM) $64.92 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 19.56%
Cintas (CTAS) $25.54 23.87 1.07 1.80% 1.61 19.91%

Watch List Summary

The stock that fell the most from last week's watch list was Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) which fell -14.47% for the week. There were no stocks that had a gain from the previous week, however Genzyme (GENZ) lost the least at -2.80%. 

Company Change from Last Week
Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) -3.49%
Apollo Group, Inc. (APOL) -5.51%
QUALCOMM (QCOM) -5.97%
Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) -14.47%
Activision (ATVI) -4.92%
Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) -8.11%
Genzyme (GENZ) -2.80%
Symantec (SYMC) -7.36%

In all, the Nasdaq 100 Watch List of last week lost -6.58% as compared to the Nasdaq 100 index which lost a total of -7.56%.  As with our Dividend Achiever Watch List, the smaller losses and larger gains make the Watch Lists a good place to start investigating your next investment opportunities.  Naturally, we expect that all investment decisions should be done with an eye for selectivity and a willingness to harbor a lot of patience.

New on our Nasdaq Watch List this week is Cintas (CTAS) which is also a Dividend Achiever.  Cintas (CTAS) will be closely followed in the days to come since the company has increased its dividend every year for 27 years in a row.  One caveat regarding the CTAS dividend is that it appears to be paid only once a year around the month of February.  This means that poorly timed purchases can result in large losses without being offset by quarterly dividend payments.
Email our team here.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on May 2, 2010 by | Leave a comment
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 21% of their respective 52-week low. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy.  Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and extensive due diligence.
Symbol Name Price P/E EPS Yield P/B % from low
GILD Gilead 39.71 12.74 3.12 0 4.86 0.40%
APOL Apollo 57.41 14.36 4 0 6.53 8.75%
QCOM QUALCOMM 38.68 20.63 1.88 2.00% 3.09 9.08%
ATVI Activision 11.08 130.35 0.09 1.40% 1.31 11.58%
GENZ Genzyme 53.22 129.17 0.41 0 1.91 13.02%
RYAAY Ryanair 28.16 0 0 0 0 13.46%
YHOO Yahoo! Inc. 16.53 29.62 0.56 0 1.93 18.84%
SYMC Symantec 16.77 43.56 0.39 0 3.13 20.04%
Watch List Summary
The best performing stock from last week's list was Qualcomm (QCOM) which rose 1.12%.  The worst performing stock was Apollo Group (APOL) which declined 9.63%.  Worth noting is the fact that Gilead Sciences (GILD) is moving very close to the October 10, 2008 adjust low price of $37.47.  If GILD falls below the $37 level then the next support level is $27 according to Dow Theory.
This is the first time that Yahoo! (YHOO) has appeared on our watchlist.  However, the most accurate low price should be the $8.95 low price that was attained in November 2008.  I would not be surprised to see YHOO become the subject of a takeover if the price falls any further.
While YHOO's price has gone relatively nowhere in the last year, potential acquirers have an expensive stock price on their hands.  This explains why Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) is buying Palm (PALM).  From the period of one year ago, HPQ's stock price has risen over 40% while PALM's had fallen by over 60% in the same time frame.  Stock prices are getting expensive and the only way to resolve this is by issuing more shares to raise capital or by acquiring another company.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on April 24, 2010 by | Leave a comment

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 21% of the 52-week low.

Symbol Name Price P/E EPS Yield P/B % from Low
GILD Gilead Sciences 41.67 14.77 2.82 0 5.74 4.44%
QCOM QUALCOMM 38.25 30.7 1.25 1.90% 3.08 7.87%
GENZ Genzyme Corporation 53.93 35 1.54 0 1.85 14.53%
ATVI Activision Blizzard 11.6 136.47 0.09 1.30% 1.35 16.82%
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings 29.19 N/A - 0 0 17.61%
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. 63.53 15.89 4 0 7.34 20.34%

This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on April 9, 2010 by | Leave a comment
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy.  Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and extensive due diligence.

Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS (ttm) Yield P/B % from Low
GILD Gilead 45.7975 16.2 2.822 0 6.48 10.86%
GENZ Genzyme 52.8 34.3 1.54 0 1.81 12.13%
SRCL Stericycle 54.58 27 2.03 0 5.44 18.76%
QCOM QUALCOMM 42.17 33.8 1.25 1.60% 3.32 18.92%
APOL Apollo Group 63.14 15.8 4 0 7.13 19.61%
RYAAY Ryanair 29.75 N/A - 0 N/A 19.86%
This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.
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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on March 28, 2010 by | Leave a comment

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low.

Symbol Name Price P/E EPS (ttm) Yield P/B % from Yr Low
GILD Gilead Sciences 45.34 16.1 2.82 0 6.5 9.76%
GENZ Genzyme Corp. 53 34.4 1.54 0 1.8 12.55%
APOL Apollo Group 61.28 14.7 4.16 0 6.7 16.08%
QCOM QUALCOMM 41.83 33.6 1.246 1.60% 3.3 17.96%
FSLR First Solar, Inc. 116.5 15.5 7.53 0 3.6 18.02%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 54.5 26.9 2.03 0 5.5 18.58%

This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on March 13, 2010 by | Leave a comment
Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low
QCOM QUALCOMM 38.95 31.3 1.25 1.70% 3.1 9.84%
ERTS Electronic Arts Inc. 17.77 N/A -2.3 N/A 2.3 13.18%
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. 47.42 16.8 2.82 N/A 6.7 14.79%
FSLR First Solar, Inc. 115.5 15.4 7.53 N/A 3.6 17.04%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 54.49 26.9 2.03 N/A 5.5 18.56%
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. 63.02 15.2 4.16 N/A 6.8 19.38%
GENZ Genzyme 56.91 36.9 1.54 N/A 2 20.85%

Watch List Summary

This week on the Nasdaq 100 Watch List there were several notable changes. We had Stericycle (SRCL) decline -1.55% for the week. Stericycle (SRCL) had the largest decline of stocks that were on our watch list from the prior week. It appears that SRCL is on its way to declining to the previous low of $50.62. Since May 2009, SRCL has managed to trace out higher lows. SRCL is currently selling 29% below the 10-year average P/E ratio and 24% below the 10-year average price to cash flow ratio. Counteracting those positive features is that the company is selling almost 7% above the 10-year average price to book ratio. According to Morningstar, SRCL is a wide moat company or a company that a significant advantage that is challenging for new competitors to enter the industry (SRCL chart below).

The leading stock on the Nasdaq 100 in the past week has been First Solar (FSLR), which gained 6.37%. FSLR is selling at least 60% below the 3-year average price to book, price to cash, price to earnings, and price to sales. Lacking any 10-year data on First Solar (FSLR) my intuition tells me to consider this stock only in a small portion of the portfolio and that I’m willing to lose 100% of invested funds. FSLR seems like the Whole Foods (WFMI) of the energy sector, great concept but little in the way of sustainability.
Finally, the sector that appears to be on the move is the video game group. Both Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) gained 3.80% and 3.99% respectively. The move higher was also confirmed by Gamestop Corp (GME), which rose just over 6% for the week.
In a footnote to our Dividend Achiever Watch List, we wish to bring to your attention the recent rumors that SuperValu (SVU) is being considered as a takeover candidate. Since our Investment Observation on January 6, 2010, the stock has run up 33.72%. SuperValu (SVU) sports a price to earnings ratio of 38 and a price to sales ratio that is half of its 5-year average. The price to book ratio is currently at the 5-year average. SVU seems a bit rich for me at this time however the performance of the stock since our January 6th article does not surprise our team.
The Nasdaq 100 Watch List is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.
 -Touc

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on February 21, 2010 by | Comments Off on Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 21% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted (view all.)

-Touc

Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B % from Low
Apollo Group
56.92
13.70
4.16
N/A
6.56
7.82%
Electronic Arts
16.75
N/A
-2.31
N/A
2.09
13.56%
First Solar
116.00
15.46
7.50
N/A
4.37
14.97%
Activision
10.79
125.47
0.09
1.39%
1.28
16.65%
Pharma Prod.
21.20
15.81
1.34
2.83%
1.87
17.97%
Stericycle
54.30
26.81
2.03
N/A
5.36
18.15%
Genzyme
55.97
31.91
1.75
N/A
1.94
18.86%
Gilead
48.84
17.31
2.82
N/A
6.84
20.24%

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Posted in apol, atvi, erts, fslr, GENZ, GILD, PPDI, SRCL

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on February 13, 2010 by | Comments Off on Nasdaq 100 Watch List
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 21% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.

Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS (ttm) Yield P/B % from Low
Electronic Arts
16.06
N/A
-4.06
N/A
1.97
8.88%
Apollo Grp
59.22
14.25
4.16
N/A
6.23
12.18%
First Solar
115.10
15.34
7.50
N/A
3.94
14.07%
Stericycle
51.36
25.36
2.03
N/A
5.17
15.18%
Gilead Sci.
47.01
16.66
2.82
N/A
6.47
15.73%
Genzyme Corp.
55.73
31.77
1.75
N/A
1.93
18.35%
QUALCOMM
38.84
31.17
1.25
1.80%
2.98
19.00%
Pharma Product
21.65
13.70
1.58
2.80%
1.92
20.48%
Activision
11.11
45.35
0.25
1.40%
1.24
20.63%
Video game makers Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Activision (ATVI) seemed to be in a race to the bottom until ATVI announced that its earnings beat expectations and that they are going to pay a dividend for the first time. On the news, ATVI moved higher while ERTS continues to languish within 9% of a new low. However, the fact that ERTS is so low and isn't promoting "positive" news makes the company more attractive.
Pharamceutical Product Development (PPDI) is again edging back on to our new low list. As you'll note on my 2009 transaction overview, PPDI was one of my most successful ventures from the Nasdaq 100 Watch List. Although not yet a Dividend Achiever, the company has increased the dividend every year for 4 years in a row. The company has solid financials and carries no debt.
Apollo Group (APOL) has remained on the Watch List for 4 months now. Provided that APOL doesn't fall below the November lows, this company may be worth investigating. With return on assets around 25% and return on equity at around 50% it would be difficult to ignore this special situation. However, my primary concern would be on the issues of long-term debt and quality of reported earnings.
As a group, Genzyme (GENZ), Stericycle (SRCL), Gilead (GILD), and PPDI are all companies that I would invest in, to varying degrees. The healthcare sector, as well as the water utilities on the Dividend Achiever Watch List are demonstrating their relative undervaluation against the overall market.

-Touc

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on February 7, 2010 by | Comments Off on Nasdaq 100 Watch List
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted. -Touc
Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low
First Solar
114.19
15.22
7.50
N/A
3.93
13.17%
Apollo Group
59.93
14.42
4.16
N/A
6.45
13.53%
Gilead Sciences
46.38
16.44
2.82
N/A
6.43
14.18%
Activision Blizzard
10.21
41.67
0.25
N/A
1.14
15.63%
QUALCOMM
38.04
30.53
1.25
1.80%
2.99
16.54%
Electronic Arts
17.26
N/A
-4.06
N/A
2.08
17.02%
Genzyme
55.17
31.45
1.75
N/A
1.89
17.16%
Stericycle
52.00
26.58
1.96
N/A
5.76
17.22%

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Posted in apol, atvi, erts, fslr, GENZ, GILD, qcom, SRCL

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on January 10, 2010 by | Leave a comment
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted. -Touc
Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low
GILD Gilead Sciences 44.54 17.22 2.59 N/A 7.17 9.65%
CEPH Cephalon, Inc. 63.01 17.42 3.62 N/A 2.21 19.90%
GENZ Genzyme Corp 53.81 30.68 1.75 N/A 1.78 14.27%
APOL Apollo Group 60.50 16.13 3.75 N/A 8.55 14.61%

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Posted on December 31, 2009 by | Leave a comment
Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 20% of the 52-week low. This list is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted. -Touc

Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS (ttm) Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low

GENZ

Genzyme

49.01

27.94

1.75

N/A

1.73

4.08%

GILD

Gilead

43.27

16.73

2.59

N/A

7.00

6.52%

APOL

Apollo

60.58

16.15

3.75

N/A

8.18

14.76%

CEPH

Cephalon

62.42

17.25

3.62

N/A

2.19

18.78%

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