Category Archives: CMG.TO

Canadian Dividend Watch List: March 2016

Performance Review

Below is the performance of all the stocks from our March 2015 Canadian list:

symbol name 2015 2016 % chg
BEI-UN.TO Boardwalk REIT 58.27 53.2 -8.70%
TU TELUS Corporation 33.47 30.84 -7.86%
BNS.TO The Bank of Nova Scotia 63.46 62.27 -1.88%
REF-UN.TO Canadian REIT 45.57 43.45 -4.65%
LB.TO Laurentian Bank of Canada 48.3 47.76 -1.12%
CJR-B.TO Corus Entertainment Inc. 18.41 10.75 -41.61%
CM.TO CIBC 93.2 96.99 4.07%
BDT.TO Bird Construction Inc. 10 11.75 17.50%
SU Suncor Energy Inc. 28.2 26.16 -7.23%
RY.TO Royal Bank of Canada 76.39 74.25 -2.80%
HCG.TO Home Capital Group Inc. 42 36.11 -14.02%
CTY.TO Calian Technologies Ltd. 18.55 19.8 6.74%
NA.TO National Bank of Canada 47.03 41.38 -12.01%
AX-UN.TO Artis REIT 14.83 12.65 -14.70%
RCI-B.TO Rogers Communications Inc. 44.06 50.73 15.14%
CUF-UN.TO Cominar REIT 19.3 16.66 -13.68%
TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank 43.06 41.65 -3.27%
CWB.TO Canadian Western Bank 27.63 24.28 -12.12%
IMO.TO Imperial Oil Ltd. 48.35 44.4 -8.17%
D-UN.TO Dream Office REIT 26.14 20.32 -22.26%

 

The average change was –6.63% as compared to the Toronto Stock Exchange change of –9.60% in the period from March 22, 2015 to March 11, 2016.  The first five stocks on the list averaged a decline of –4.84% excluding the dividend.  Including the dividend for the first five stocks would have resulted in a net decline of –0.78%.

A stock that we had strong interest in from our January 2015 Canadian list was Computer Modelling Group (CMG.TO).  At the time we said the following:

“As Computer Modelling Group is heavily associated with the oil, gas and mining sector, currently experiencing a drubbing at the hands of lower oil prices, there is good reason to believe that the stock could go as low as $7.30.  However, the most compelling element of Computer Modelling Group is the fact that the services they provide are, or could become, applicable to other industries.  Therefore, we wouldn’t rule out this company’s prospects over the long-term.”

According to the available data, CMG.TO managed to trade as low as $7.67 on January 26, 2016, this was within 5% of our targeted worst case scenario of $7.30.  Below is an updated Altimeter for CMG.TO.

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March 2016 Watch List

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Canadian Dividend Watch List: August 2015

Below is the performance of the stocks that were on our Canadian Dividend Watch List from August 2014:

symbol Name 2014 2015 % Chg
TA.TO TransAlta Corp. 12.72 6.42 -49.53%
ESI.TO Ensign Energy Services Inc. 16.25 9.06 -44.25%
CGX.TO Cineplex Inc. 40.35 46.29 14.72%
RCI-B.TO Rogers Communications Inc. 43.24 46.9 8.46%
D-UN.TO Dream Office REIT 28.95 21.48 -25.80%
TLM.TO Talisman Energy Inc. 11.32 9.48 -16.25%
CMG.TO Computer Modelling Group Ltd. 12.46 11.68 -6.26%
CJR-B.TO Corus Entertainment Inc. 24.85 13 -47.69%
NWC.TO North West Company Inc. 24.29 27.12 11.65%
IGM.TO IGM Financial Inc. 50.64 36.24 -28.44%
CWT-UN.TO Calloway REIT 26.25 29.41 12.04%

The entire list lost –15.58% which is compared to the Toronto Stock Exchange decline of –12.16% in the period from August 15, 2014 to August 21, 2015.  The top five stocks on our list averaged a loss of –19.08% which is substantially more than the index.  Below we’ve outlined the performance of the watch list stocks compared to the analyst estimates.

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This is one of the best examples (so far) of the analysts being accurate about the estimated price change that we’ve seen so far.  Talisman, TransAlta, Dream Office REIT, Rogers Communications, North West Co. and Cineplex all came within reasonable distance of the projected targets or move in the stock price.  The remaining stocks that did not meet expectations failed miserably and in a directions that was highly unfavorable to investors.

Canadian Dividend Watch List for August 2015

Below is the list of stocks that we think are worth your consideration and due diligence.