Category Archives: Market Update

NLO Market Indicator–June 14, 2022

On Monday June 13, 2022, the market fell nearly 4% and triggered our Market Score down to –6. The last time we saw this was on March 12, 2020. Continue reading

NLO Market Indicator–May 11, 2022

Since our update on 4/29/2022, the market continue to move downward and now reaching a yearly low. Our Market Score and Dow Theory Indicator turned negative on May 9, 2022. Continue reading

NLO Market Indicator–April 29, 2022

The S&P 500 lost -9% in the month of April and many indicators are pointing to a bearish market. Our Dow Theory Indicator (red line) has not turned negative yet. However, all major indexes are approaching their yearly low (see second chart below) and surely will trigger our indicator to move into negative territory of –1 and give us a sell signal.

Although an official sell signal hasn’t been triggered by this indicator, our read on the market breadth has been negative since the Market Score (green line) went into negative territory on February 1st. At the time, the S&P 500 was at 4,547 which is 10% higher than current level.

A buy signal occurs when market capitulates to the downside. A mark of –5 indicate a market capitulation to the downside and triggers a buy signal. Continue reading

Market Update–April 15, 2022

Market remain on shaky ground after giving back 1.8% this week. Year-to-date, S&P 500 lost 8.4% and the Dow fell 5.8%. All major indexes are now trading less that 10% from the low (see first chart). Our Market Score (second chart) rebounded back to 0 and we continue to see this as bearish to neutral. A reading of –5 or lower would mark a buying opportunity with tremendous upside and limited downside. Continue reading

Market Update – March 8, 2022

Below is the market update as of March 8, 2022. Continue reading

Market Update – March 4, 2022

There are no surprises that we all major indexes are declining. One of the factor we monitor is the market internal which look at the % from the one-year low. The chart below display the weakness which started when the Russell (RUT) broke below one-year low on 1/19/2022.

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Our team will provide an update on the market based on Dow Theory this weekend.