Category Archives: sector lows

Intel Buys McAfee, New Low Gets it Right…Again

Today it was announced that Intel (INTC) agreed to buy McAfee (MFE) for $7.68 billion.  In a series of articles that started on March 20, 2010 (article link), the New Low Observer team bubbled with excitement over the fact that the chip sector, as broad as it is, was severely undervalued.  On March 20th we said:
"...it is noted that the majority of the companies that pay a dividend are related to the chip sector. Clustering of companies in a specific industry may indicate that the entire sector is undervalued."
On March 22, 2010 (article link), the New Low team answered a reader question about Applied Material (AMAT).  In that article, titled "Applied Materials and the Chip Sector Should Be on Your Radar," we said:
"Our opinion is that the chip sector is ripe for mergers and acquisitions."
 Finally, on March 22, 2010 (article link), the New Low team, prompted by the purchase of Techwell Corp. (TWLL) by Intersil Corp. (ISIL), pointed out specific reasons why we thought that the chip sector was ripe for mergers, acquisitions and/or extremely undervalued in the following quote:
"...the fact that the purchase was done with cash is a testament to the fact that the chip manufacturers have abundant cash or are under priced and undervalued."
We closed our March 22, 2010 (article link) article with a quote that we hope ever reader of our website will put to the test.
"Once it can be verified that companies in a specific industry are undervalued, you can rest assured that the mergers and acquisitions will begin. The fact that cash is being used to buy up companies is the final nail in the coffin on the theory of an undervalued sector."
Since we started the New Low Observer, we have been able to identify the water sector, the biotech/pharma sector, the medical device sector and now the chip sector as undervalued before acquisitions or substantial price gains occurred. It should be noted that we don't have any special skills, just the willingness to carefully observe and sometimes buy companies that have fallen to a new low. Get the research going for the companies that are part of the chip sector, and never chase a stock that has a rising price.

Chipmaker Intersil Pays Cash for Semi maker Techwell

No sooner than we published our Nasdaq 100 Watch List on Saturday March 20th outlining a preliminary case for chip manufactures than integrated circuit manufacturer Intersil Corporation (ISIL) announces today that it will pay cash for semiconductor manufacturer Techwell (TWLL).  Although it was luck that our suggestion to examine the chip sector came just before the acquisition of Techwell (TWLL), the fact that the purchase was done with cash is a testament to the fact that the chip manufacturers have abundant cash or are under priced and undervalued.  Techwell (TWLL) rose 47.75% during regular trading hours as Intersil (ISIL) will pay a premium of 48.71%. 
For all intents and purposes, the chip sector lite up like a Christmas tree on the announcement of the acquisition of Techwell (TWLL) today.  Our previous Speculative Recommendation of Mattson Technology (MTSN), another wafer equipment manufacturer, is now about to breach the old high of $4.22 if the industry continues to heat up with activity.
We have said it many times before and will continue to iterate the point that when a whole sector or industry starts to appear at or near a new low then it typically indicates that the companies within that industry are undervalued.  It only takes a cursory look to verify if this assumption is correct.  Once it can be verified that companies in a specific industry are undervalued, you can rest assured that the mergers and acquisitions will begin. The fact that cash is being used to buy up companies is the final nail in the coffin on the theory of an undervalued sector.
Since we started the New Low Observer, we have been able to identify the water sector, the biotech/pharma sector and the medical device sector as undervalued before acquisitions or substantial price gains occurred.  It should be noted that we don't have any special skills,  just the willingness to carefully observe and sometimes buy companies that have fallen to a new low.  Get the research going for the companies that are part of the chip sector, and never chase a stock that has a rising price.
-Touc
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