Category Archives: WFMI

Whole Foods Market

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Price change since August 1, 2014 recommendation of WFM:

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We said the following at the time:

“Investors interested in WFM should consider a 3 step purchase plan with the first purchase at the current price with additional  investments at $30 and at $24 or below.  It appears that WFM has considerable price support at the $24 level.”

Gould’s Speed Resistance Lines

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List: August 28, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the companies that appeared on our August 26, 2014 watch list.

symbol Name 2014 2015 % chg
MAT Mattel, Inc. 34.66 23.2 -33.06%
CA CA Technologies, Inc. 28.31 27.26 -3.71%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 11.06 13.75 24.32%
WFM Whole Foods Market, Inc. 38.495 32.85 -14.66%
XLNX Xilinx Inc. 41.78 42.27 1.17%
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. 102.5 61.6 -39.90%
FAST Fastenal Company 45.73 38.69 -15.39%
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 53.51 76.73 43.39%
EXPD Expeditors Intl of Wash 41.64 49.66 19.26%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 119.06 142 19.27%

The list of stocks achieved an average gain of +0.07% compared to the Nasdaq 100 gain of +6.28%.

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This watch list achieved exceptional performance based on the analyst estimates as six of the ten stocks exceeded analyst expectations (MAT, WFM, DLTR, EXPD, SPLS, SRCL).

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 stocks worth your consideration along with the analyst estimates of price change for the coming year.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: March 19, 2013

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 10% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Symbol Name Trade P/E EPS Yield P/B Pct from Yr Low
QCOM QUALCOMM 38.95 31.3 1.25 1.70% 3.1 9.84%
ERTS Electronic Arts Inc. 17.77 N/A -2.3 N/A 2.3 13.18%
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. 47.42 16.8 2.82 N/A 6.7 14.79%
FSLR First Solar, Inc. 115.5 15.4 7.53 N/A 3.6 17.04%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 54.49 26.9 2.03 N/A 5.5 18.56%
APOL Apollo Group, Inc. 63.02 15.2 4.16 N/A 6.8 19.38%
GENZ Genzyme 56.91 36.9 1.54 N/A 2 20.85%

Watch List Summary

This week on the Nasdaq 100 Watch List there were several notable changes. We had Stericycle (SRCL) decline -1.55% for the week. Stericycle (SRCL) had the largest decline of stocks that were on our watch list from the prior week. It appears that SRCL is on its way to declining to the previous low of $50.62. Since May 2009, SRCL has managed to trace out higher lows. SRCL is currently selling 29% below the 10-year average P/E ratio and 24% below the 10-year average price to cash flow ratio. Counteracting those positive features is that the company is selling almost 7% above the 10-year average price to book ratio. According to Morningstar, SRCL is a wide moat company or a company that a significant advantage that is challenging for new competitors to enter the industry (SRCL chart below).

The leading stock on the Nasdaq 100 in the past week has been First Solar (FSLR), which gained 6.37%. FSLR is selling at least 60% below the 3-year average price to book, price to cash, price to earnings, and price to sales. Lacking any 10-year data on First Solar (FSLR) my intuition tells me to consider this stock only in a small portion of the portfolio and that I’m willing to lose 100% of invested funds. FSLR seems like the Whole Foods (WFMI) of the energy sector, great concept but little in the way of sustainability.
Finally, the sector that appears to be on the move is the video game group. Both Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) gained 3.80% and 3.99% respectively. The move higher was also confirmed by Gamestop Corp (GME), which rose just over 6% for the week.
In a footnote to our Dividend Achiever Watch List, we wish to bring to your attention the recent rumors that SuperValu (SVU) is being considered as a takeover candidate. Since our Investment Observation on January 6, 2010, the stock has run up 33.72%. SuperValu (SVU) sports a price to earnings ratio of 38 and a price to sales ratio that is half of its 5-year average. The price to book ratio is currently at the 5-year average. SVU seems a bit rich for me at this time however the performance of the stock since our January 6th article does not surprise our team.
The Nasdaq 100 Watch List is strictly for the purpose of researching whether or not the companies have viable business models or are about to go out of business. These companies are deemed highly speculative unless otherwise noted.
 -Touc

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