Search Results for: Charles Dow

Dow’s Theory on the Economy

Charles H. Dow says that to understand the stock market study business conditions “We believe that the stock market as a whole should be regarded always as an effect of general conditions, and that the way to study the stock … Continue reading

The Dow and Recessions

The following is raw data on the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) versus the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) call of a recession from the peak to trough from 1900 to 2018. Our aim is the … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Business Cycles

Charles H. Dow on Business Cycles “These comparisons could be indefinitely increased without changing the essential conclusion, which is that business of all kinds moves in periods of alternating expansion and contraction (Dow, Charles H. Wall Street Journal. Review and … Continue reading

Dow Theory: December 2018

Our May 10, 2018 posting says all that we need to say.  At the time, we said the following:

Dow’s theory on Past Performance

Change is the only constant, therefore present value is not future value “There are a good many former towns in western Kansas which have become even less than villages.  Many dividend-paying investment stocks have, in the course of time, been … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Investment Values

According to Charles H. Dow, a values-based approach to financial data determine future worth “Values will tell in the long run.  The value of railway stocks can be ascertained to a reasonable extent. If a railway stock is selling below … Continue reading

Dow Theory Letters Book List

Richard Russell was a legendary Dow Theorist and stock market commentator. Russell wrote the Dow Theory Letters for over 55 years from 1958 to 2015. Using Dow theory, Russell accurately called the top of the market in 1966, the bottom … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on the Shareholder

Charles H. Dow’s view on the role of shareholders “…some managers look upon the properties which they manage as their own and upon the information which comes to them as personal perquisites, and disregard altogether the fact that they may … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Earnings Expectations

Charles H. Dow’s thoughts on the impact of earnings expectations “A general belief that a stock is going to earn a given rate is sometimes as effective speculatively as the actual demonstration of such earnings (Dow, Charles H. Wall Street … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Dividend Payout Ratio

Charles H. Dow discusses reasonable dividend payout ratio: “Common stocks can hardly be expected to sell up to the same level of return of the greater insecurity of dividends.  Union Pacific may earn 5% or more on the  common stock, … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Fair Disclosure

In this piece, Dow is a leading advocate for frequent and full disclosure for greater clarity to all investors.  This was a concept that was relatively unheard of at the time. “It is in a high degree important for all … Continue reading

Dow 50k by 2023? How about 177k by 2032?

In a USA Today article titled “Dow hitting 50,000 by 2023? Market milestone is within reach, investor claims”, money manager Charles Lemonides says, “…investors ‘should build their portfolios recognizing Dow 50,000 is a real possibility’ by 2022 or 2023.” This … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Wide Moats

Charles H. Dow says companies with wide moats are difficult to duplicate “It will always be easier to duplicate an industrial plant than a railway plant, and on this account industrial profits cannot be quite as stable as railroad profits … Continue reading

The Definitive Dow Theory on Gold

Dow Theory attempts to define and identify major moves in markets referenced here as the “primary trend.”  In this piece, we will outline the price of gold according to Dow Theory. We’re going to review and analyze the primary trend … Continue reading

Using Dow Theory with Helmerich & Payne

The core of Dow Theory is the emphasis of value investing, anticipating investor behavior and knowing when to accept fair profits.  This posting outlines the basic premise of these core concepts. On September 14, 2015, we posted a Quick Take … Continue reading