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Investor Education
Market Return After Exceptional Years
Dollar Cost Averaging Tool
Dow Theory: The Formation of a Line
Dividend Capture Strategy Analysis
Golden Cross – How Golden Is It?
Debunked – Death Cross
Work Smart, Not Hard
Charles H. Dow, Father of Value Investing
It's All About the Dividends
Dow Theory: Buying in Scales
How to Avoid Losses
When Dividends are Canceled
Cyclical and Secular Markets
Inflation Proof Myth
What is Fair Value?
Issues with P-E Ratios
Beware of Gold Dividends
Gold Standard Myth
Lagging Gold Stocks?
No Sophisticated Investors
Dollar down, Gold up?
Problems with Market Share
Aim for Annualized Returns
Anatomy of Bear Market Trade
Don’t Use Stop Orders
How to Value Earnings
Low Yields, Big Gains
Set Limits, Gain More
Ex-Dividend Dates -
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Historical Data
1290-1950: Price Index
1670-2012: Inflation Rate
1790-1947: Wholesale Price Cycle
1795-1973: Real Estate Cycle
1800-1965: U.S. Yields
1834-1928: U.S. Stock Index
1835-2019: Booms and Busts
1846-1895: Gold/Silver Value
1853-2019: Recession/Depression Index
1860-1907: Most Active Stock Average
1870-2033: Real Estate Cycles
1871-2020: Market Dividend Yield
1875-1940: St. Louis Rents
1876-1934: Credit-New Dwellings
1896-1925: Inflation-Stocks
1897-2019: Sentiment Index
1900-1903: Dow Theory
1900-1923: Cigars and Cigarettes
1900-2019: Silver/Dow Ratio
1901-2019: YoY DJIA
1903-1907: Dow Theory
1906-1932: Barron's Averages
1907-1910: Dow Theory
1910-1913: Dow Theory
1910-1936: U.S. Real Estate
1910-2016: Union Pacific Corp.
1914-2012: Fed/GDP Ratio
1919-1934: Barron's Industrial Production
1920-1940: Homestake Mining
1921-1939: US Realty
1922-1930: Discount Rate
1924-2001: Gold/Silver Stocks
1927-1937: Borden Co.
1927-1937: National Dairy Products
1927-1937: Union Carbide
1928-1943: Discount Rate
1929-1937: Monsanto Co.
1937-1969: Intelligent Investor
1939-1965: Utility Stocks v. Interest Rates
1941-1967: Texas Pacific Land
1947-1970: Inventory-Sales Ratio
1948-2019: Profits v. DJIA
1949-1970: Dow 600? SRL
1958-1976: Gold Expert
1963-1977: Farmland Values
1971-2018: Nasdaq v. Gold
1971-1974: REIT Crash
1972-1979: REIT Index Crash
1986-2018: Hang Seng Index Cycles
1986-2019: Crude Oil Cycles
1999-2017: Cell Phone Market Share
2008: Transaction History
2010-2021: Bitcoin Cycles -
Interesting Read
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other
The Fuzzy, Insane Math That's Creating So Many Billion-Dollar Tech Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters
Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes
Why the oil price is falling
How a $600 Million Hedge Fund Disappeared
Hedge Fund Manager Who Remembers 1998 Rout Says Prepare for Pain
Swiss National Bank Starts Negative
Tice: Crash is Coming...Although
More on Edson Gould (PDF)
Schiller's CAPE ratio is wrong
Double-Digit Inflation in the 1970s (PDF)
401k Crisis
Quick Link Archive
Search Results for: Dow Theory
Dow Theory: Applied to Poultry Prices
On the Costco (COST) conference call dated October 9, 2013, executive vice-president and CFO Richard Galanti had the following to say about their rotisserie chickens: “keep in mind the return – I used the example of the rotisserie chicken in … Continue reading
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Posted in inflation, poultry, Steve Hanke
Dow Theory and the Unemployment Rate
For some, the economy has not fully recovered until the unemployment rate is “back where it was” when the economy was booming. Unfortunately, there are key issues with this notion.
Posted in Dow Theory, Unemployment
Dow Theory Q&A
Reader BlueIce comments (found here): “So for the past four years, the NYSE is up but volume down…What is the root cause, if any? Bank Bernankski ?” Our Response: While there is considerable belief that the Federal Reserve has been … Continue reading
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Posted in Dow Theory, manipulation, Q and A, William Peter Hamilton
Dow Theory: The Beginning of a Cyclical and Secular Bull Market?
The world of Dow Theory was abuzz after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average charged to all-time highs on March 5, 2013 (found here). At the time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had finally capitulated … Continue reading
Dow Theory: Secular and Cyclical Markets
We often mention the concept of secular and cyclical markets in our discussion of Dow Theory. So far, we believe that we’re in a secular bear market owing to the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones … Continue reading
Comments Off on Dow Theory: Secular and Cyclical Markets
Posted in cycle analysis, Cyclical Bear Market, Cyclical Bull Market, Dow Theory, Secular Bear Market, Secular Bull Market
Dow Theory on Fair Value
The purpose of this article is to demonstrate how Dow Theory approaches the question of the fair value of a stock. Most investors often hear of an analyst giving a fair value for a stock. Seldom is there ever a … Continue reading
Comments Off on Dow Theory on Fair Value
Posted in Dow's Value Theory
Dow Theory Update
On May 19, 2012, we said that the bear market rally had ended (found here). In our view, we believed that the Dow Jones Jones Industrial Average would not exceed the high of 13,279.32 set on May 1, 2012. The … Continue reading
Comments Off on Dow Theory Update
Posted in bear market, Dow Theory, Dow Theory Non confirmation
Dow Theory
Current Dow Theory Dow Theory: December 2018 – December 20, 2018 Dow Theory: September 2018 – September 20, 2018 Dow Theory: August 2018 – August 21, 2018 Dow Theory: Where Are We Now? – May 10, 2018 Dow Theory on Gold … Continue reading
Dow Theory Applied to Silver?
A reader asks: “How do you relate Dow Theory to the Silver market?” Our response: Charles H. Dow was first an economist, then a commodities expert and finally a stock market analyst. Before Charles H. Dow co-founded the Wall Street … Continue reading
Comments Off on Dow Theory Applied to Silver?
Posted in commodities, Dow Theory, gold, Silver
Dow Theory: Values and Price
On Friday June 24, 2011, we published an article regarding the topic of Dow’s Theory of value and price regarding Dish Networks (DISH). At the time, we suggested that a recent recommendation to buy DISH by a widely read Dow … Continue reading
Posted in Dow's Value Theory
Dow Theory: Q&A
A reader has asked, “if the bear market is confirmed, do you see a possible longer term test of the lows from ’08 [2009]?” This question is predicated on the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average confirms the March … Continue reading
Posted in 50% principle, Dow Theory, law of action and reaction
Dow Theory: August 2, 2011
In a first since the bear market bottom of March 9, 2009 and the bull market indication that initiated the New Low Observer on July 24, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average has signaled … Continue reading
Posted in bear market, Dow Theory
Dow Theory: Price and Values
Dow Theory is as much about values as it is about squiggly lines on a chart. Charles H. Dow, co-founder and former editor of the Wall Street Journal, often expressed the idea of values in many different ways. However, there … Continue reading
Posted in Dow's Value Theory