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Investor Education
Market Return After Exceptional Years
Dollar Cost Averaging Tool
Dow Theory: The Formation of a Line
Dividend Capture Strategy Analysis
Golden Cross – How Golden Is It?
Debunked – Death Cross
Work Smart, Not Hard
Charles H. Dow, Father of Value Investing
It's All About the Dividends
Dow Theory: Buying in Scales
How to Avoid Losses
When Dividends are Canceled
Cyclical and Secular Markets
Inflation Proof Myth
What is Fair Value?
Issues with P-E Ratios
Beware of Gold Dividends
Gold Standard Myth
Lagging Gold Stocks?
No Sophisticated Investors
Dollar down, Gold up?
Problems with Market Share
Aim for Annualized Returns
Anatomy of Bear Market Trade
Don’t Use Stop Orders
How to Value Earnings
Low Yields, Big Gains
Set Limits, Gain More
Ex-Dividend Dates -
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Historical Data
1290-1950: Price Index
1670-2012: Inflation Rate
1790-1947: Wholesale Price Cycle
1795-1973: Real Estate Cycle
1800-1965: U.S. Yields
1834-1928: U.S. Stock Index
1835-2019: Booms and Busts
1846-1895: Gold/Silver Value
1853-2019: Recession/Depression Index
1860-1907: Most Active Stock Average
1870-2033: Real Estate Cycles
1871-2020: Market Dividend Yield
1875-1940: St. Louis Rents
1876-1934: Credit-New Dwellings
1896-1925: Inflation-Stocks
1897-2019: Sentiment Index
1900-1903: Dow Theory
1900-1923: Cigars and Cigarettes
1900-2019: Silver/Dow Ratio
1901-2019: YoY DJIA
1903-1907: Dow Theory
1906-1932: Barron's Averages
1907-1910: Dow Theory
1910-1913: Dow Theory
1910-1936: U.S. Real Estate
1910-2016: Union Pacific Corp.
1914-2012: Fed/GDP Ratio
1919-1934: Barron's Industrial Production
1920-1940: Homestake Mining
1921-1939: US Realty
1922-1930: Discount Rate
1924-2001: Gold/Silver Stocks
1927-1937: Borden Co.
1927-1937: National Dairy Products
1927-1937: Union Carbide
1928-1943: Discount Rate
1929-1937: Monsanto Co.
1937-1969: Intelligent Investor
1939-1965: Utility Stocks v. Interest Rates
1941-1967: Texas Pacific Land
1947-1970: Inventory-Sales Ratio
1948-2019: Profits v. DJIA
1949-1970: Dow 600? SRL
1958-1976: Gold Expert
1963-1977: Farmland Values
1971-2018: Nasdaq v. Gold
1971-1974: REIT Crash
1972-1979: REIT Index Crash
1986-2018: Hang Seng Index Cycles
1986-2019: Crude Oil Cycles
1999-2017: Cell Phone Market Share
2008: Transaction History
2010-2021: Bitcoin Cycles -
Interesting Read
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other
The Fuzzy, Insane Math That's Creating So Many Billion-Dollar Tech Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters
Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes
Why the oil price is falling
How a $600 Million Hedge Fund Disappeared
Hedge Fund Manager Who Remembers 1998 Rout Says Prepare for Pain
Swiss National Bank Starts Negative
Tice: Crash is Coming...Although
More on Edson Gould (PDF)
Schiller's CAPE ratio is wrong
Double-Digit Inflation in the 1970s (PDF)
401k Crisis
Quick Link Archive
Search Results for: XAU
Gold Stock Indicator
Based on our preliminary work, we believe that gold stocks, as represented by the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Stock Index, will reach our long-term gold stock sell indication between July 15, 2013 and November 25, 2013. This is our best … Continue reading
Posted in Edson Gould, gold, Gold Stock Indicator, RGLD, Silver, SRL
Gold Stock Investors: To Beat Inflation Look to Food Processors, Producers and Distributors
We’ve long maintained the view that in order for long-term investors to beat inflation, the conventional wisdom of investing in gold and silver stocks is not the most advantageous way to benefit from what almost everyone believes is coming as … Continue reading
Dividend Investors: Beware of Payments in Gold
As long-term investors in precious metals, we have featured several articles that warned about the pitfalls of gold and silver investing rather than highlighting the redeeming attributes in the sector. One reason for this is the one-sided analysis that permeates … Continue reading
Gold Stock Indicator: The Big Picture
Article Summary Start accumulating gold stocks now select gold stocks from those in the XAU Index at minimum, investors must allow for 25% downside risk before reinvesting more funds Our Take On November 2, 2011, we posted an article which … Continue reading
Posted in gold, Gold Stock Indicator, XAU
Altimeter & SRLs
According to Edson Gould, “one of the best ways to determine whether the stock market is ‘high,’ ‘low’ or somewhere in between is to examine the relationship between prices and dividends.” At least that is the way that Edson Gould … Continue reading
Market Outlook: Mixed Signals
On February 7, 2012, we wrote an article on the topic of gold titled “Gold Stock Indicator Points Down” (found here). In that article, the very last sentence said the following: “based on the current trajectory, we have May/June 2012 … Continue reading
Posted in Dow Theory, Gold Stock Indicator, XAU
Gold Stock Indicator: Nearing a Buy Signal for NUGT
Note: This article was posted on April 4, 2012 during market hours to active subscribers. Because DUST is trading up today, April 5, 2012, it is still applicable. On January 26, 2012, our gold stock indicator said that it was time … Continue reading
Posted in Gold Stock Indicator
Gold Stock Indicator: Sell DUST
Our Gold Stock Indicator is supposed to indicated whether to buy the Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear (DUST) [short gold stocks x 3] or the Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull (NUGT) [go long gold stocks x 3]. On January 26, … Continue reading
Posted in Gold Stock Indicator
A Strategy is Needed for Lagging Gold Stocks
For gold stock investors, a timing strategy is the most effective way to match or beat the coming metal price increase. Among our caveats, we’re excluding junior and exploration mining companies which will either go out of business, experience share … Continue reading
Comments Off on A Strategy is Needed for Lagging Gold Stocks
Posted in gold, Gold Stock Indicator, Richard Russell, Richard Russell Review, XAU
The Coming Precious Metals Dividend War
On September 9, 2009 we wrote an article titled “Silver Should be the Focus.” In that article, we cautioned readers to “be mindful of the coming competitive dividend war between precious metal companies. I remember one, now defunct, gold company … Continue reading
Netflix and Speed Resistance Lines
In a February 9, 1970 Barron’s article titled “600 on the Dow?” William X. Scheinman provides an interesting chart of the Dow Industrials (DJI) that outlines what he believes to be the target level that the DJI would fall to … Continue reading
Comments Off on Netflix and Speed Resistance Lines
Posted in Edson Gould, Netflix, speed resistance line, William X. Scheinman, XAU
iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Debrief
On April 14, 2011, we provided what we believed to be the downside target for the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (XAU) in anticipation of the current decline that is taking place using Edson Gould’s speed resistance lines (article here). Although … Continue reading
Posted in Dow Theory, Edson Gould, gold, iShares Silver Trust, Silver, SLV, XAU
Projecting Downside Targets for Gold and Silver Stocks
In our prior work on the topic of gold and silver, we indicated that the precious metals market had entered into a secular bull market. Our confidence in that thesis was based on the works of Edward Dewey and Edwin … Continue reading
Posted in Edson Gould, gold, William X. Scheinman, XAU
Homestake Mining: The Exception that Proves the Rule
In order to better understand the relationship of precious metals and precious metal stocks it is critical that investors get familiar with the periods of peaks and troughs of the gold and silver markets. Without this knowledge hardened gold and … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold bugs, HM, Homestake Mining