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Investor Education
Market Return After Exceptional Years
Dollar Cost Averaging Tool
Dow Theory: The Formation of a Line
Dividend Capture Strategy Analysis
Golden Cross – How Golden Is It?
Debunked – Death Cross
Work Smart, Not Hard
Charles H. Dow, Father of Value Investing
It's All About the Dividends
Dow Theory: Buying in Scales
How to Avoid Losses
When Dividends are Canceled
Cyclical and Secular Markets
Inflation Proof Myth
What is Fair Value?
Issues with P-E Ratios
Beware of Gold Dividends
Gold Standard Myth
Lagging Gold Stocks?
No Sophisticated Investors
Dollar down, Gold up?
Problems with Market Share
Aim for Annualized Returns
Anatomy of Bear Market Trade
Don’t Use Stop Orders
How to Value Earnings
Low Yields, Big Gains
Set Limits, Gain More
Ex-Dividend Dates -
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Historical Data
1290-1950: Price Index
1670-2012: Inflation Rate
1790-1947: Wholesale Price Cycle
1795-1973: Real Estate Cycle
1800-1965: U.S. Yields
1834-1928: U.S. Stock Index
1835-2019: Booms and Busts
1846-1895: Gold/Silver Value
1853-2019: Recession/Depression Index
1860-1907: Most Active Stock Average
1870-2033: Real Estate Cycles
1871-2020: Market Dividend Yield
1875-1940: St. Louis Rents
1876-1934: Credit-New Dwellings
1896-1925: Inflation-Stocks
1897-2019: Sentiment Index
1900-1903: Dow Theory
1900-1923: Cigars and Cigarettes
1900-2019: Silver/Dow Ratio
1901-2019: YoY DJIA
1903-1907: Dow Theory
1906-1932: Barron's Averages
1907-1910: Dow Theory
1910-1913: Dow Theory
1910-1936: U.S. Real Estate
1910-2016: Union Pacific Corp.
1914-2012: Fed/GDP Ratio
1919-1934: Barron's Industrial Production
1920-1940: Homestake Mining
1921-1939: US Realty
1922-1930: Discount Rate
1924-2001: Gold/Silver Stocks
1927-1937: Borden Co.
1927-1937: National Dairy Products
1927-1937: Union Carbide
1928-1943: Discount Rate
1929-1937: Monsanto Co.
1937-1969: Intelligent Investor
1939-1965: Utility Stocks v. Interest Rates
1941-1967: Texas Pacific Land
1947-1970: Inventory-Sales Ratio
1948-2019: Profits v. DJIA
1949-1970: Dow 600? SRL
1958-1976: Gold Expert
1963-1977: Farmland Values
1971-2018: Nasdaq v. Gold
1971-1974: REIT Crash
1972-1979: REIT Index Crash
1986-2018: Hang Seng Index Cycles
1986-2019: Crude Oil Cycles
1999-2017: Cell Phone Market Share
2008: Transaction History
2010-2021: Bitcoin Cycles -
Interesting Read
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other
The Fuzzy, Insane Math That's Creating So Many Billion-Dollar Tech Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters
Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes
Why the oil price is falling
How a $600 Million Hedge Fund Disappeared
Hedge Fund Manager Who Remembers 1998 Rout Says Prepare for Pain
Swiss National Bank Starts Negative
Tice: Crash is Coming...Although
More on Edson Gould (PDF)
Schiller's CAPE ratio is wrong
Double-Digit Inflation in the 1970s (PDF)
401k Crisis
Quick Link Archive
Search Results for: Richard Russell
Dow, Hayek, and Graham: Price as Knowledge
Price conveys knowledge, that is the conclusion of Russ Roberts in an EconTalk podcast with Don Boudreaux dated October 28, 2013. More specifically, Roberts was citing the work of F.A. Hayek’s “The Use of Knowledge in Society” dated 1945 and … Continue reading
Posted in Charles H. Dow, Dow's Value Theory, Graham and Dodd, Hayek, values
Inventory-Sales Ratio
Richard Russell’s Dow Theory Letters dated March 20, 1970: “Sales and Inventories: The accompany chart from the Journal of Commerce (thanks to Humphrey Neill) shows an interesting picture, the critical sales to inventory ratio. When business is expanding, and we … Continue reading
The Dow and Recessions
The following is raw data on the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) versus the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) call of a recession from the peak to trough from 1900 to 2018. Our aim is the … Continue reading
Posted in Charles H. Dow, DJIA, NBER, recessions, Richard Russell, William Peter Hamilton
Dow Theory Letters Book List
Richard Russell was a legendary Dow Theorist and stock market commentator. Russell wrote the Dow Theory Letters for over 55 years from 1958 to 2015. Using Dow theory, Russell accurately called the top of the market in 1966, the bottom … Continue reading
Posted in book, book list, Richard Russell
Tesla: Downside Targets
In this posting, we’ll covered the topic of downside targets for Tesla (TSLA). We’re going to apply Speed Resistance Lines [SRL] and George Lindsay’s “Three Peaks and a Domed House.” The SRL downside targets are fairly conservative, in our view, … Continue reading
Posted in 3PDh, Speed Resistance Lines, SRL, Tesla Motors
The Definitive Dow Theory on Gold
Dow Theory attempts to define and identify major moves in markets referenced here as the “primary trend.” In this piece, we will outline the price of gold according to Dow Theory. We’re going to review and analyze the primary trend … Continue reading
Posted in 50% principle, Dow Theory, gold
Elliot Wave Theory: Insights
On September 16, 1970, Richard Russell had the following to say about Elliot Wave Theory: “Last week I received a letter from a gentleman at a large New York Bank, and the letter raises on important question which deserves answering … Continue reading
Posted in Elliott Wave, wave theory
Federal Reserve: A Bit Player
When talking to any number of clear headed and knowledgeable market analysts, it often shocks me at the confidence and certainty with which the Federal Reserve Bank is credited with the rebound of financials markets from 2009 to 2016. It … Continue reading
Dow Theory: The Misunderstood Barometer
Dow Theory is a fickle beast. While the theory is sound, those that interpret it have their challenges. A recent article dated May 21, 2015 titled “Transportation Average – A Big Concern for Stock Bulls?” by Chris Ciovacco presents some … Continue reading
Consequences of Falling Oil Prices
Economic events never occur in a vacuum. Usually there is a string of events that leads from one event to another. One big event can lead to an even bigger event that overshadows the prior calamities that triggered “The Big” … Continue reading
Gold Stocks: Risks and Remedies
The topic of gold inspires a charged reaction from individuals seeking fiscal and monetary responsibility of their respective governments. This article is an attempt to establish the risks of gold stock ownership in an investor’s portfolio. We will cover the … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold bugs, Gold Stock Indicator
Review: Bank of Montreal
Contributor C. Cheng Asks: “What are your concerns regarding the housing bubble forming in Canada and it’s potentially adverse effects on BMO?” Our Response: The timeliness of this comment regarding Bank of Montreal (BMO) is critical. On June 7, 2012 … Continue reading
Dow Theory: The 50% Principle
The following from Richard Russell’s Dow Theory Letters is what we believe to be one of the most valuable examples of Charles Dow’s 50% Principle in action. “I am publishing this arithmetic chart of the D-J Industrials (high and low … Continue reading
Posted in 50% principle, Dow Fair Value