Search Results for: Dow Theory

Dow’s Theory on Markets and Manipulation

As we repeatedly say, based on the work of Charles H. Dow (co-founder of the Wall Street Journal and the respected Indexes), markets can be manipulated in the short term.  However, in the long run, everyone learns the truth. “…manipulation … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on Government and Markets

“Remember that the industrial and railroad stocks used in the averages are essentially speculative. Only to a limited extent are they held for fixed income by people to whom safety of the principal should be the main consideration, and their … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on Employment and Unemployment

In the Review and Outlook section of the Wall Street Journal dated February 27, 1902, Charles H. Dow said the following of labor and unemployment and their impact on prices: “Periods of depression in business and in prices are invariably … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment and its Predictive Role Consumer sentiment seems to be an arbitrary measure for deciding if the economy will grow or contract.  However, having a reliable measure of consumer sentiment can aid in future planning for spending and investment.  … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on True Value

Charles H. Dow’s version of “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” “…while good and bad stocks rise and fall together with general conditions, and each stock has its own independent movement, and, as … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on the Economy

Charles H. Dow says that to understand the stock market study business conditions “We believe that the stock market as a whole should be regarded always as an effect of general conditions, and that the way to study the stock … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Business Cycles

Charles H. Dow on Business Cycles “These comparisons could be indefinitely increased without changing the essential conclusion, which is that business of all kinds moves in periods of alternating expansion and contraction (Dow, Charles H. Wall Street Journal. Review and … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Past Performance

Change is the only constant, therefore present value is not future value “There are a good many former towns in western Kansas which have become even less than villages.  Many dividend-paying investment stocks have, in the course of time, been … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Investment Values

According to Charles H. Dow, a values-based approach to financial data determine future worth “Values will tell in the long run.  The value of railway stocks can be ascertained to a reasonable extent. If a railway stock is selling below … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on the Shareholder

Charles H. Dow’s view on the role of shareholders “…some managers look upon the properties which they manage as their own and upon the information which comes to them as personal perquisites, and disregard altogether the fact that they may … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Earnings Expectations

Charles H. Dow’s thoughts on the impact of earnings expectations “A general belief that a stock is going to earn a given rate is sometimes as effective speculatively as the actual demonstration of such earnings (Dow, Charles H. Wall Street … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Dividend Payout Ratio

Charles H. Dow discusses reasonable dividend payout ratio: “Common stocks can hardly be expected to sell up to the same level of return of the greater insecurity of dividends.  Union Pacific may earn 5% or more on the  common stock, … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Fair Disclosure

In this piece, Dow is a leading advocate for frequent and full disclosure for greater clarity to all investors.  This was a concept that was relatively unheard of at the time. “It is in a high degree important for all … Continue reading

Dow’s theory on Wide Moats

Charles H. Dow says companies with wide moats are difficult to duplicate “It will always be easier to duplicate an industrial plant than a railway plant, and on this account industrial profits cannot be quite as stable as railroad profits … Continue reading

Dow’s Theory on Values and Information

“Wall Street offers many opportunities to those who know values and possess some capital. But until people learn that some stocks are cheap at $200 per share an others dear at 2 cents per share, and until people learn that … Continue reading