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Investor Education
Market Return After Exceptional Years
Dollar Cost Averaging Tool
Dow Theory: The Formation of a Line
Dividend Capture Strategy Analysis
Golden Cross – How Golden Is It?
Debunked – Death Cross
Work Smart, Not Hard
Charles H. Dow, Father of Value Investing
It's All About the Dividends
Dow Theory: Buying in Scales
How to Avoid Losses
When Dividends are Canceled
Cyclical and Secular Markets
Inflation Proof Myth
What is Fair Value?
Issues with P-E Ratios
Beware of Gold Dividends
Gold Standard Myth
Lagging Gold Stocks?
No Sophisticated Investors
Dollar down, Gold up?
Problems with Market Share
Aim for Annualized Returns
Anatomy of Bear Market Trade
Don’t Use Stop Orders
How to Value Earnings
Low Yields, Big Gains
Set Limits, Gain More
Ex-Dividend Dates -
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Historical Data
1290-1950: Price Index
1670-2012: Inflation Rate
1790-1947: Wholesale Price Cycle
1795-1973: Real Estate Cycle
1800-1965: U.S. Yields
1834-1928: U.S. Stock Index
1835-2019: Booms and Busts
1846-1895: Gold/Silver Value
1853-2019: Recession/Depression Index
1860-1907: Most Active Stock Average
1870-2033: Real Estate Cycles
1871-2020: Market Dividend Yield
1875-1940: St. Louis Rents
1876-1934: Credit-New Dwellings
1896-1925: Inflation-Stocks
1897-2019: Sentiment Index
1900-1903: Dow Theory
1900-1923: Cigars and Cigarettes
1900-2019: Silver/Dow Ratio
1901-2019: YoY DJIA
1903-1907: Dow Theory
1906-1932: Barron's Averages
1907-1910: Dow Theory
1910-1913: Dow Theory
1910-1936: U.S. Real Estate
1910-2016: Union Pacific Corp.
1914-2012: Fed/GDP Ratio
1919-1934: Barron's Industrial Production
1920-1940: Homestake Mining
1921-1939: US Realty
1922-1930: Discount Rate
1924-2001: Gold/Silver Stocks
1927-1937: Borden Co.
1927-1937: National Dairy Products
1927-1937: Union Carbide
1928-1943: Discount Rate
1929-1937: Monsanto Co.
1937-1969: Intelligent Investor
1939-1965: Utility Stocks v. Interest Rates
1941-1967: Texas Pacific Land
1947-1970: Inventory-Sales Ratio
1948-2019: Profits v. DJIA
1949-1970: Dow 600? SRL
1958-1976: Gold Expert
1963-1977: Farmland Values
1971-2018: Nasdaq v. Gold
1971-1974: REIT Crash
1972-1979: REIT Index Crash
1986-2018: Hang Seng Index Cycles
1986-2019: Crude Oil Cycles
1999-2017: Cell Phone Market Share
2008: Transaction History
2010-2021: Bitcoin Cycles -
Interesting Read
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other
The Fuzzy, Insane Math That's Creating So Many Billion-Dollar Tech Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters
Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes
Why the oil price is falling
How a $600 Million Hedge Fund Disappeared
Hedge Fund Manager Who Remembers 1998 Rout Says Prepare for Pain
Swiss National Bank Starts Negative
Tice: Crash is Coming...Although
More on Edson Gould (PDF)
Schiller's CAPE ratio is wrong
Double-Digit Inflation in the 1970s (PDF)
401k Crisis
Quick Link Archive
Search Results for: gold
Gold Stock Indicator Points Down
On November2, 2011, we posted an article titled “A Strategy is Needed for Lagging Gold Stocks.” In that article we made reference to a Gold Stock Indicator that we’ve been using to determine the best times to buy and sell … Continue reading
Posted in gold, Gold Stock Indicator, XAU
A Strategy is Needed for Lagging Gold Stocks
For gold stock investors, a timing strategy is the most effective way to match or beat the coming metal price increase. Among our caveats, we’re excluding junior and exploration mining companies which will either go out of business, experience share … Continue reading
Comments Off on A Strategy is Needed for Lagging Gold Stocks
Posted in gold, Gold Stock Indicator, Richard Russell, Richard Russell Review, XAU
Dollar Down, Gold Up?
We’re not the best observers of the dollar/gold relationship. However, We have noticed some discussion of the idea that if the dollar declines then the price of gold will (continue to) rise. This logic seem to make perfect sense, on … Continue reading
Projecting Downside Targets for Gold and Silver Stocks
In our prior work on the topic of gold and silver, we indicated that the precious metals market had entered into a secular bull market. Our confidence in that thesis was based on the works of Edward Dewey and Edwin … Continue reading
Posted in Edson Gould, gold, William X. Scheinman, XAU
AngloGold (AU) and Other SA Stocks Offer No Margin of Safety
If we’re on the brink of a breakout to gold at $9,000 an ounce as UBS claims (source: Financial Times, requires registration) then let the party begin. By my own calculations, after halving my worst case scenario, gold could go … Continue reading
Posted in gold, Richard Russell
Was the Fed Too Accommodative Before the 1929 Crash?
No. We say this because the history of the Fed is to follow market rates in implementing their own policy. Frequently, by the time the Fed has responded to the most recent run up or down the Reserve Bank is … Continue reading
National Buyers Remorse
On February 13, 2024, it was reported that the nation of Zimbabwe had accumulated approximately a ton of gold. In this posting, we’ll address the elephant in the room on how that gold was accumulated. “The Central Bank in Zimbabwe … Continue reading
Twitter Tape: Catch-Up Indexes
Here is something that weighs on our mind: Our experience says this is a warning, as accurately presented by Micheal A. Gayed. Our concern is that this only implies one scenario, the tech sector ultimately crashing as the other half … Continue reading
Posted in Catch-Up Indexes, Twitter Tape
2022 Book List
Below are the books that we’ve read cover-to-cover from January 2022 to December 2022. Don’t forget to check out our 2021, 2020, 2018, 2017, 2016 and the Dow Theory Letters book lists. Title Author Revolution That Wasn’t, The by Spencer Jakab Panic! by Michael … Continue reading
Deconstructing Mike Wirth Claims 1/N @derek_brower
On October 12, 2022, Chevron CEO Mike Wirth was featured in a Financial Times article titled “Chevron Chief Blames Western Governments for Energy Crunch.” In this piece, we attempt to deconstruct the many ways that the claims by Wirth are … Continue reading
Posted in Charles Dow, CHK, CVX, Edson Gould, XOI
U.S. Dividend Watch List: October 29, 2021
The market had a tremendous run this past year. Year-over-year, the S&P rose 40% with some corrections along the way. Our watch list from prior year also had an outstanding outcome. Low P/E strategy shot up 200% driven mainly by … Continue reading
1985-2021: XAU Velocity Indicator
Below is the Velocity Indicator for the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Stock Index (XAU).
Posted in Velocity Indicator, XAU
Unemployment Rate: March 2021
Review: On August 23, 2009, in our call that the recession was over, we said the following (when the unemployment rate was at 9.60%): “I doubt that the general public will agree that the recession is over since jobs will … Continue reading
Posted in artificial advance, artificial depression
Silver/Dow Ratio: Under a Short Squeeze Scenario
Below is the annual silver/Dow Jones Industrial Average ratio from 1900 to 2021. Short Squeeze Precedent If silver were to experience a short squeeze on the scale of the Hunt brothers in the 1980’s, then the price of silver could … Continue reading
On This Date: IPO of a Nation
On this date in 1620, the (Plymouth) Council for New England was chartered by the king of England as a joint stock company with monopoly rights on (found here): “…all the Breadth aforesaid throughout the Maine Land, from Sea to … Continue reading